Mesoscale Discussion
SPC MD 1215
MD 1215 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 396... FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 1215
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0905 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025
Areas affected...portions of the Texas Panhandle
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396...
Valid 090205Z - 090330Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396
continues.
SUMMARY...Some of the stronger storms may still produce a few
instances of severe gusts/hail.
DISCUSSION...Several multicells and supercells are propagating
southward behind residual outflow boundaries across portions of the
Texas Panhandle. Over the past couple of hours, a few instances of
severe hail/wind have been reported. However, the passage of
convective outflow, along with nocturnal cooling should begin to
limit the severe threat behind the predominant cluster of
thunderstorms over northwestern TX. In the short-term though, a
couple more instances of severe hail/wind cannot be ruled out.
..Squitieri.. 06/09/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 33580155 33960215 34540246 35050257 35010085 34629980
33949980 33550015 33470075 33580155
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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SPC MD 1214
MD 1214 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 395... FOR CENTRAL/SOUTHERN MO INTO SOUTHWEST IL
Mesoscale Discussion 1214
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0839 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025
Areas affected...Central/southern MO into southwest IL
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395...
Valid 090139Z - 090315Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395
continues.
SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe storms may spread southeast into
late evening.
DISCUSSION...Some recent intensification has been noted with storms
near a cold front across south-central/southeast MO, with other
strong storms ongoing within the post-frontal regime into
west-central MO. For the storms near the front, MLCAPE of 1500-2000
J/kg and modest deep-layer shear could support some threat for hail
and damaging gusts. Longevity of these storms remains uncertain, but
there is some potential for an isolated severe threat to eventually
spread southeast out of WW 395. Any potential downstream watch
issuance will depend on short-term trends regarding these storms
over the next 60-90 minutes.
MUCAPE is still on the order of 1000 J/kg immediately north of the
front, and an isolated severe threat cannot be ruled out with these
storms as well through the evening. Any remaining severe threat
should subside in the wake of the post-frontal storms, as cooler and
more stable conditions move into the region.
..Dean/Gleason.. 06/09/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...EAX...
LAT...LON 36779245 37229378 37699454 38049409 38649235 38459053
38088933 37688926 37348935 37018984 36809037 36689083
36659142 36689190 36779245
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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SPC MD 1213
MD 1213 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 394...396... FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 1213
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0822 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025
Areas affected...portions of central Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394...396...
Valid 090122Z - 090245Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394, 396
continues.
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have begun increasing in intensity, and a
few severe gusts may occur with the stronger storm cores over the
next few hours.
DISCUSSION...MRMS mosaic radar imagery depicts strengthening
multicells and possible supercells in central OK along the leading
outflow from earlier convection to the west. KTLX radar data is
showing strong inbound velocities with storms immediately west of
the OKC metro area, and they are overspreading a very unstable
airmass (over 4000 J/kg MLCAPE). As such, severe gusts may accompany
the stronger storm cores over the next few hours, as also suggested
by some of the latest WoFS ensemble output.
..Squitieri.. 06/09/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...
LAT...LON 35429814 35409706 35139631 34809606 34569608 34379639
34409692 34569751 34859783 35429814
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2025
...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the southern Plains
this evening and overnight...
* LOCATIONS...
North Texas
Southern Oklahoma
* HAZARDS...
Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force
A couple of tornadoes
Scattered large hail, some baseball size
* SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes, destructive wind gusts up to 80-100 mph, and
large to very large hail remain likely across parts of the
southern Plains this evening and overnight. The greatest threat
for significant severe winds should focus across north Texas and
southern Oklahoma.
Preparedness actions...
Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility
of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio,
weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch
means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms
over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is
issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.
&&
..Gleason.. 06/09/2025
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