Hurricanes Atlantic Pacific

North Atlantic Tropical Weather


Atlantic

Gulf of Mexico

Carribean

Water Vapor

Atlantic Temps

Atlantic Map


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

372 
ABNT20 KNHC 251718
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gonzalo, located about 160 miles east of the southernmost Cabo
Verde Islands, and on Tropical Storm Fay, located well to the
west-southwest of the Azores.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Gonzalo are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Gonzalo are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Katz/Reinhart

Summary for Tropical Storm Fay (AT1/AL062026)

...FAY SLIGHTLY STRONGER... As of 3:00 PM GMT Fri Sep 25 the center of Fay was located near 30.1, -42.5 with movement W at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

Tropical Storm Fay Public Advisory Number 22

Issued at 300 PM GMT Fri Sep 25 2026 
000
WTNT31 KNHC 251445
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number  22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
300 PM GMT Fri Sep 25 2026
 
...FAY SLIGHTLY STRONGER...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.1N 42.5W
ABOUT 1040 MI...1670 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was
located near latitude 30.1 North, longitude 42.5 West. Fay is moving
toward the west near 3 mph (6 km/h).  A gradual turn to the
west-southwest then southwest at a slower forward speed is expected
over the next few of days.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Some slight strengthening is possible over the 
next few hours.  Gradual weakening, however, is still expected 
through the weekend.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT.
 
$$
Forecaster Katz/Roberts

Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Advisory Number 22

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026 
000
WTNT21 KNHC 251437
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062026
1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  42.5W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  42.5W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  42.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 30.1N  43.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 30.0N  43.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.8N  44.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 29.5N  44.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 29.0N  45.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 28.5N  45.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 27.8N  46.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  42.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KATZ/ROBERTS

Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Discussion Number 22

Issued at 300 PM GMT Fri Sep 25 2026 
000
WTNT41 KNHC 251437
TCDAT1
 
Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number  22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
300 PM GMT Fri Sep 25 2026
 
Convection continues to increase mostly on the northern side of 
Fay, while resisting dry air entrainment based as displayed on the 
visible and water vapor imagery. The lastest TAFB Dvorak fix came in 
at T2.5/45 kt, however a recent SAR pass found peak winds around 55 
kt. In addition, the objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS are 
in the range of 37-42 kt. A recent ASCAT pass showed that some of 
the peak wind vectors were around 40 kt, but given the small size 
of Fay, it is possible that the ASCAT is undersampling the peak 
winds. Based on a compromise of all the available data, the initial 
intensity is raised to 50 kt for this advisory. 
 
Additional strengthening is still possible over the next several 
hours, as Fay is in a region of weak deep-layer shear and 
marginally favorable thermodynamic conditions. The statistical 
GFS/ECMWF SHIPS intensity guidance indicates that northerly wind 
shear will increase tonight, which should help force dry air 
into the cyclone. Therefore, Fay should gradually weaken through 
the period, and degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone during the 
weekend. The current NHC intensity forecast is in good agreement 
with the HCCA and GDMI forecast aids.
 
Fay's initial motion is estimated to be due west, or 275/3 kt and is 
steered by a subtropical ridge anchored over the central Atlantic. 
The initial position for Fay has been adjusted to the left of the 
previous advisory and the center of the cyclone appears to have 
reformed to the northeast.  By Saturday, a gradual turn toward the 
west-southwest and southwest is forecast while Fay weakens and 
become a vertically shallow remnant low steered by the low-level 
flow. The latest NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one 
and lies close to the GDMI ensemble mean and the HCCA corrected 
consensus aid.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  25/1500Z 30.1N  42.5W   50 KT  60 MPH
 12H  26/0000Z 30.1N  43.0W   50 KT  60 MPH
 24H  26/1200Z 30.0N  43.8W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  27/0000Z 29.8N  44.3W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  27/1200Z 29.5N  44.8W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 60H  28/0000Z 29.0N  45.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  28/1200Z 28.5N  45.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  29/1200Z 27.8N  46.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  30/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Katz/Roberts

Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026 
000
FONT11 KNHC 251437
PWSAT1
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062026               
1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KATZ/ROBERTS

Tropical Storm Fay Graphics



Tropical Storm Fay 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 25 Sep 2026 15:23:29 GMT

Summary for Tropical Storm Gonzalo (AT2/AL072026)

...CENTER OF GONZALO NEARING THE EASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS... As of 5:00 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 the center of Gonzalo was located near 15.7, -22.7 with movement N at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 3a

Issued at 500 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026 
000
WTNT32 KNHC 251748
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072026
500 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026
 
...CENTER OF GONZALO NEARING THE EASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM CVT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 22.7W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM S OF SAL CABO VERDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cabo Verde Islands
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM CVT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was 
located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 22.7 West. Gonzalo is 
moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h). A northward to 
north-northwestward motion is expected through tonight, followed by 
a slower north-northwestward motion over the weekend. On the 
forecast track, the center will pass near or over the eastern 
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands later today and tonight.  
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. A gradual 
weakening trend is forecast to begin tonight and continue through 
the weekend. 
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
primary to the northeast of the center. The official observing 
station on Sal in the Cabo Verde Islands recently reported a 
sustained wind of 35 mph (56 km/h) with a gust to 48 mph (78 km/h).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue over portions of 
the Cabo Verde Islands through tonight.
 
RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) across the eastern portions of
the islands of Cabo Verde on Friday and Saturday with less than 1
inch anticipated for the western side of the island chain. Heavy
rain along the coastal areas of Guinea-Bissau, Gambia, and Senegal
will produce totals between 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with
isolated higher amounts along the immediate coast.
 
SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to affect the Cabo
Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM CVT.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 3

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026 
673 
WTNT22 KNHC 251444
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072026
1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  22.7W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......180NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  22.7W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  22.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N  22.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE  30SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.1N  23.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  30SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.3N  23.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.3N  24.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.8N  24.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.3N  25.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.8N  25.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.2N  25.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  22.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 25/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 3

Issued at 200 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026 
000
WTNT42 KNHC 251445
TCDAT2
 
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Discussion Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072026
200 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026
 
Gonzalo remains a sheared tropical cyclone with the deep convection 
located northeast of the elongated center.  ASCAT data from around 
1100 UTC revealed a large area of tropical-storm force winds 
located over the northeastern portion of the circulation with peak 
winds of around 45 kt.  Those peak winds were the basis for 
increasing the intensity to 45 kt on the 1200 UTC intermediate 
advisory, and the initial intensity for this advisory remains 
unchanged.

The initial motion estimate is north-northwest or 345/9 kt. A 
mid-level trough over the eastern Atlantic is expected to steer 
Gonzalo north-northwestward to northward today with the center 
passing near or over the easternmost Cabo Verde Islands. A 
north-northwestward heading should then continue over the weekend 
with some reduction in forward speed as the system weakens and 
becomes more vertically shallow.  The updated NHC track forecast is 
similar to the previous advisory and lies closest to the HFIP 
corrected consensus aid. 

Little change in strength is expected today as Gonzalo passes near 
or over the Cabo Verde Islands.  The shear is forecast to increase 
to more than 30 kt later tonight and become even more belligerent 
over the weekend.  This should cause weakening to begin by Saturday 
morning with a continued gradual spin down through the weekend.  As 
the SSTs cool along the track and strong shear continues, the 
system is likely to lose organized deep convection by late Sunday 
or Sunday night and become post-tropical. The NHC intensity 
forecast is close to a blend of the Google Deep Mind and HFIP 
corrected consensus aids. 
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of the 
Cabo Verde Islands into tonight. 
 
2. Heavy rains from Gonzalo could affect the eastern portions of 
the Cabo Verde Islands and the western coast of Africa between 
Guinea-Bissau to Senegal through Saturday. Areas of flash flooding 
will be possible along the Africa coasts with some isolated flash 
flood concerns for the eastern portions of Cabo Verde. 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  25/1500Z 15.1N  22.7W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  26/0000Z 16.5N  22.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  26/1200Z 18.1N  23.4W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  27/0000Z 19.3N  23.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 48H  27/1200Z 20.3N  24.2W   30 KT  35 MPH
 60H  28/0000Z 20.8N  24.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  28/1200Z 21.3N  25.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  29/1200Z 21.8N  25.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  30/1200Z 22.2N  25.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 
$$
Forecaster Brown

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026 
440 
FONT12 KNHC 251444
PWSAT2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3          
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072026               
1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 22.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
RIBIERA GRANDE 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PRAIA CVI      34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 
SANTA MARIA CV 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SANTA MARIA CV 50  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Graphics



Tropical Storm Gonzalo 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 25 Sep 2026 15:29:46 GMT